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In May 2020, lead member for housing services at Newham Council, John Gray, branded coronavirus ''.

Newham, a borough in East London, has , and in May 2020 it had the highest death rate nationally with 144.3 people dying per 100,000 population. Importantly, Newham also suffers the highest level of housing overcrowding in the country, with affected. Furthermore, the number of households in temporary accommodation in Newham once again the highest rate in Britain.

Increasingly, the UK finds itself facing a housing crisis that makes experiences such as overcrowding and impermanence common features of everyday life. Now, COVID-19 is demonstrating with devastating effect what many have been arguing for years: that .

Housing in crisis: how did we get here?

Overcrowded, inadequate and insecure housing are painful symptoms of a UK wide housing gap, the effects of which cut across multiple generations and socio-economic groups just as they impact vulnerable populations the most.

The National Housing Federation estimates that are living in unaffordable or unsuitable accommodation, with 3.6 million living in overcrowded homes and 1.4 million in poor quality homes. The BBC’s Housing Briefing have been built in the UK than required by the population, and that if current building rates stay the same it will take 15 years to close this gap.

Largely, the UK’s housing crisis is founded on . Despite ever-increasing numbers of households living in substandard accommodation and spending months and/or years on council housing waiting lists, .

For Stephens and Stephenson, the housing crisis must be understood of policy since 2010, through which the coalition government and, thereafter, the majority Conservative government have increased barriers to affordable housing for low income groups and withdrawn the sorts of safety measures put in place to protect them.

As Lund elaborates, between 2010 and 2015 , under a quarter of previous input. In addition, between 2009/10 and 2015/16, council house rents (after Housing Benefit) , as the government under Prime Minister David Cameron sought to raise all social rents in-line with the private market.

Aside from these more recent trends in housing policy, today’s UK housing crisis also has older roots. Under the 1980 Housing Act, then Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher’s government oversaw . The scheme which made this possible, the ‘Right to Buy’ scheme, enabled council tenants to buy their homes at a significant discount and made home ownership a real possibility for working class individuals, families and communities. However, just as homes were being sold off, public funding for housing construction decreased dramatically, and the assumption that the private sector would pick up the slack has failed to come to fruition in the decades since.

All of this has led to a situation today in which social housing stocks in the UK are far lower than the level of need, just as a decade of sharp housing inflation .

Housing and health: making links across crises

In claiming coronavirus to be ‘a housing disease’, John Gray was making a crucial connection between the in/adequacy of housing provisions in particular UK communities and the prevalence and virulence of COVID-19.

Analysis by Inside Housing evidenced that , 14 also suffer the highest percentage of households with fewer bedrooms than deemed essential according to the government’s .

The graph below, from , shows just how stark this correlation was during the first wave of the crisis:

Sources: Chart: Nathaniel Barker, ; Data: ONS

This reality is not only true of the British context. Research in the United States has also demonstrated that across US counties, for ‘each 5% increase in households with poor housing conditions, there was a ’.

The link between housing and public health is clear, and it is also important to recognise that inadequate housing is a socio-economic issue – that is to say, it is a crisis that impacts the poorest communities. Research from the Office for National Statistics has also evidenced that from COVID-19. This is also interesting in light of the , particularly as the latest research from the Social Metrics Commission shows that . These are also, then, households most likely to be suffering overcrowding and other forms of inadequate housing.

Coronavirus: a ‘housing disease’?

What is becoming increasingly clear, is that the impact of COVID-19 upon individuals and communities depends significantly on the circumstances they were already experiencing at the point of the pandemic.

As a virus, COVID-19 moves across uneven contexts, and lays bare the structural inequalities that make certain lives more vulnerable to illness and premature death. Here, the links between housing and public health are forced into view, as the likelihood of an individual surviving the pandemic is directly correlated to the quality of the home they live in.

This post is part of a series titled Homeless Migrants and COVID-19: Mapping the layers of crisis. 

This post reflects the views of the ºÚÁÏÈë¿Ú research team only, and not those of our project collaborators, the homelessness charity St Mungo's.

Author: Dr Charlotte Sanders.